Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.258814 2.577487 2.915493 3.299703 3.723286 4.174994 4.692069
2025-01-19 1.748694 2.206079 2.729285 3.367207 4.118878 4.971238 6.005393
2025-01-26 1.388401 1.919523 2.569537 3.411592 4.460604 5.711009 7.299561
2025-02-02 1.135607 1.706994 2.449944 3.464510 4.789432 6.435185 8.605255
2025-02-09 0.926231 1.507768 2.308024 3.454654 5.016169 7.026738 9.763600
2025-02-16 0.751956 1.323161 2.153167 3.397165 5.157621 7.498728 10.776574
2025-02-23 0.639364 1.208147 2.076160 3.429691 5.409721 8.115996 11.995556
2025-03-02 0.531255 1.079939 1.959727 3.386328 5.541411 8.565077 12.997169
2025-03-09 0.460487 1.000710 1.906338 3.426348 5.787422 9.175109 14.235139
2025-03-16 0.391858 0.912490 1.825766 3.412373 5.945438 9.659885 15.309439
2025-03-23 0.358444 0.883846 1.840249 3.548379 6.335304 10.492238 16.904326
2025-03-30 0.325095 0.849257 1.839229 3.655913 6.682928 11.272393 18.447087
2025-04-06 0.275211 0.773085 1.757342 3.624197 6.814423 11.746346 19.579233
2025-04-13 0.243865 0.731291 1.734663 3.693271 7.113717 12.489683 21.142338
2025-04-20 0.214094 0.686970 1.701381 3.739477 7.376095 13.185315 22.657514
2025-04-27 0.189197 0.648975 1.675569 3.795734 7.656317 13.917573 24.250698
2025-05-04 0.162040 0.598723 1.617475 3.784847 7.817577 14.463593 25.571231
2025-05-11 0.135160 0.542042 1.537401 3.722886 7.882539 14.852750 26.655188
2025-05-18 0.118552 0.510356 1.508251 3.757824 8.120298 15.530555 28.211845
2025-05-25 0.099509 0.465589 1.442351 3.711154 8.204228 15.952788 29.369380
2025-06-01 0.087828 0.441129 1.421143 3.754196 8.454032 16.658789 30.999471
2025-06-08 0.074981 0.408479 1.374894 3.739160 8.591831 17.176786 32.335474
2025-06-15 0.070356 0.404728 1.402001 3.885420 9.044510 18.249618 34.609124